Techno-economic analysis of residential rooftop photovoltaics in Spain

Abstract

In response to the European Commission's renewable energy targets for 2030, this study presents a comprehensive, data-driven evaluation of the potential for electricity self-consumption in the Spanish residential sector based on rooftop PV systems. Utilizing real-time hourly electricity demand data and various surplus compensation policies, the research highlights the significance of data granularity, indicating that annual data-based PV estimations can lead to rooftop PV self-consumption capacity overestimations when compared to hourly data assessments. Furthermore, geographical variations reveal distinct rooftop PV self-consumption capacities between urban and rural areas, driven mainly by the prevalent building typologies. This discrepancy suggests that while rural regions, with their predominance of single-family dwellings, offer higher PV generation potential due to more available rooftop space, urban areas, dominated by multi-story buildings, face significant constraints in rooftop surface availability. Economically, the current surplus compensation policy in Spain reduces the profitability of PV installations, underscoring the necessity for enhanced policies to fully utilize all the available rooftop areas in the residential sector. The study's findings, particularly the revelation that residential rooftops in Spain may not be enough to meet the current electricity demand, emphasize the need for adaptive, region-specific policies and the potential role of energy communities. Policymakers and industry stakeholders are urged to prioritize rooftop utilization, ensuring the deployment of PV systems is both promoted and economically viable, steering Spain closer to its renewable energy and sustainability aspirations.