Abstract
. Hempel’s theory of confirmationwas based on a few very simple (and seemingly plausible) assumptions about (instantial)‘inductive-logical support’. However, as Hempel himself was keenly aware, even suchsimple and seemingly plausible assumptions give rise to various puzzles and paradoxes.The two most famous paradoxes of confirmation were discovered by Hempel andGoodman. This article discusses Hempel’s paradox (which is known as ‘the’ paradoxof confirmation, since it was discovered first). However, many of the historicaldevelopments surrounding Hempel’s paradox (also known as the ‘raven paradox’)are also crucial for understanding Goodman’s later (‘grue’) paradox.
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