TDLP: time decay based link prediction method for dynamic networks

Abstract

Link prediction aims to find the missing link in current networks or estimate the likelihood the link will appear in the future. In many real-world scenarios, networks can be massive and drastically evolving. Many recent works concentrated on how to solve the procession of massive data, which cares less about the effects of the temporal information. In some dynamic networks, the edge that appears a long time ago will have fewer effects on the appearance of edges in the future. The accuracy of link prediction in dynamic networks can be further improved by adding temporal information in prediction measures. In this paper, we mainly explore the effects of the link temporal information in the graph stream link prediction. We design a graph stream-based framework to solve link prediction problems in dynamic networks which can provide a convenient platform to implement different link prediction methods for dynamic networks, and evaluate these methods on a fair basis. Then, we proposed the Time Decay-based Link Prediction (TDLP) method to improve the efficient of link prediction problem in the dynamic networks. TDLP extends the neighborhood-based measure with time decay functions in graph stream scenarios which can handle temporal information and massive data. Experiment results demonstrate that the accuracy of link prediction for dynamic networks can be efficiently improved in our TDLP method.