Target trial emulation of preconception serum vitamin D status on fertility outcomes: a couples-based approach

Abstract

To evaluate associations between preconception 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels and biomarkers in female and male partners on live birth (LB), pregnancy loss, and semen quality. Secondary analysis using the folic acid and zinc supplementation trial of couples seeking infertility treatment at four US centers (2013-2017). A target trial emulation framework was applied to estimate associations. Couples were observed for 9 months or through pregnancy. Clinics that provide reproductive endocrinology and infertility care in the US. Couples seeking infertility treatment. Preconception concentrations of 25(OH)D (primary) and associated biomarkers: vitamin D binding protein, calcium, free vitamin D, bioavailable vitamin D. Live birth and pregnancy loss were ascertained via self-report and medical records. Semen quality was ascertained 6 months after enrollment. Log-binomial regression estimated risk ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Individual and joint models and effect measure modification by preconception body mass index were considered. Among 2,370 couples, 19.5% of females and 29.9% of males were 25(OH)D deficient. Females with sufficient status had a 28%-higher likelihood of LB than deficient females (95% CI, 1.05-1.56). Female and male 25(OH)D status were associated with LB among those with normal body mass index (sufficient vs. deficient: female adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 1.39; 95% CI, 1.00-1.99; male aRR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.01-2.25) and among obese female partners (sufficient vs. deficient: aRR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.95-1.85). Couples whose both partners had higher 25(OH)D status had increased likelihood of LB (both not deficient vs. both deficient aRR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.00-1.58). No associations were observed with pregnancy loss or semen quality. Similar results were found for all biomarkers except calcium. Preconception vitamin D status and bioavailability impact fertility among couples seeking infertility therapy, likely unrelated to semen quality. Body mass index stratified analyses demonstrated heterogeneous associations. NCT01857310.