Taper equations for eight major forest tree species in flat land Ukraine

Abstract

Abstract Stem taper equations are crucial for forest management allowing to reliably estimate merchantable wood volume. Their main benefit is the ability to predict stem diameters at a certain height of the stem. Ukraine has recently adopted European Union standards for round wood classification, which prompted the necessity to model stem taper and updates all reference data to conform with the new standards. This study is a systematic attempt to develop a set of taper equations for the most common forest tree species in the Polissia and Forest steppe of Ukraine. For this purpose, we used a data set of 1994 sample trees representing eight tree species collected on 238 sample plots. The Kozak A. (2004, My last words on taper equations. For. Chron. 80, 507–515) model was chosen to fit the taper equations. To characterize the variability in stem shape among tree species, mixed-effect models were calibrated for this equation. In this model, random-effect parameters were selected based on their coefficients of variation through a bootstrapping process. This is a novel feature we suggest for the process of calibrating taper models. The Kozak A. (2004, My last words on taper equations. For. Chron. 80, 507–515) equation showed a good performance in predicting diameters outside bark and estimating the total stem volume. Our mixed-effect modelling approach accurately characterizes the variation in stem form for different tree species based on adequately chosen random-effect parameters. The stem volumes derived from the developed taper models were compared with existing volume equations outputs (divergence up to 0.5 per cent). A deviation up to 5 per cent was found between the values of fitted and observed cylindrical form factors for the studied tree species. We expect that our taper equations will complement the future steps towards the development of reliable merchantable volume distribution models for the main tree species in the forests of flat land Ukraine, thus, contributing to transparency, reliability and sustainability of forest management and markets in Europe.