Abstract

BackgroundRecent reviews claiming smokeless tobacco increases pancreatic cancer risk appear not to have considered all available epidemiological evidence; nor were meta-analyses included. We present a systematic review of studies from North America and Europe, since data are lacking from other continents. Risk is also difficult to quantify elsewhere due to the various products, compositions and usage practices involved.MethodsEpidemiological studies were identified that related pancreatic cancer to use of snuff, chewing tobacco or unspecified smokeless tobacco. Study details and effect estimates (relative risks or odds ratios) were extracted, and combined by meta-analyses.ResultsNine North American and two Scandinavian studies were identified. Reporting was limited in four studies, so only seven were included in meta-analyses, some providing results for never smokers, some for the overall population of smokers and non-smokers, and some for both.Giving preference to study-specific estimates for the overall population, if available, and for never smokers otherwise, the random-effects estimate for ever smokeless tobacco use was 1.03 (95% confidence interval 0.71–1.49) based on heterogeneous estimates from seven studies. The estimate varied little by continent, study type, or type of smokeless tobacco.Giving preference to estimates for never smokers, if available, and overall population estimates otherwise, the estimate was 1.14 (0.67–1.93), again based on heterogeneous estimates. Estimates varied (p = 0.014) between cohort studies (1.75, 1.20–2.54) and case-control studies (0.84, 0.36–1.97). The value for cohort studies derived mainly from one study, which reported an increase for never smokers (2.0, 1.2–3.3), but not overall (0.9, 0.7–1.2). This study also contributed to increases seen for snuff use and for European studies, significant only in fixed-effect analyses.The studies have various weaknesses, including few exposed cases, reliance in cohort studies on exposure recorded at baseline, poor control groups in some case-control studies, and lack of a dose-response. Publication bias, with some negative studies not being presented, is also possible.ConclusionAt most, the data suggest a possible effect of smokeless tobacco on pancreatic cancer risk. More evidence is needed. If any risk exists, it is highly likely to be less than that from smoking.

Highlights

  • Recent reviews claiming smokeless tobacco increases pancreatic cancer risk appear not to have considered all available epidemiological evidence; nor were meta-analyses included

  • At most, the data suggest a possible effect of smokeless tobacco on pancreatic cancer risk

  • Any excess risk is highly likely to be less than that associated with active smoking, where there is clear evidence that the risk increases with daily cigarette consumption and the number of years of smoking, and relative risk (RR) range from three up to five at the highest levels of smoking [36,37]

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Summary

Introduction

Recent reviews claiming smokeless tobacco increases pancreatic cancer risk appear not to have considered all available epidemiological evidence; nor were meta-analyses included. Smokeless tobacco (ST) is mainly used orally, chewing tobacco and snuff being the major products used in North America and Europe. There are several types of chewing tobacco and snuff, differing in their formulation and in how the tobacco is treated and used [1,2,3]. In the United States, where finely-cut moist snuff or chewing tobacco is held by users in the gingival buccal area, ST has been an important part of total tobacco consumption for many years. In Sweden, the only other economically developed country where ST forms a major part of tobacco sales (e.g. 53% in 2000), snuff ('snus') is generally placed between the gum and upper lip [2]. The Swedish population has a long history of use of snus, sales of chewing tobacco there being negligible. Use occurs in various ways, with the tobacco used alone or in combination with other products, such as betel nut quid, slaked lime, areca nut and even snail shells [1,3,7]

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