Systematic identification of external influences in multi-year microseismic recordings using convolutional neural networks

Abstract

Abstract. Passive monitoring of ground motion can be used for geophysical process analysis and natural hazard assessment. Detecting events in microseismic signals can provide responsive insights into active geophysical processes. However, in the raw signals, microseismic events are superimposed by external influences, for example, anthropogenic or natural noise sources that distort analysis results. In order to be able to perform event-based geophysical analysis with such microseismic data records, it is imperative that negative influence factors can be systematically and efficiently identified, quantified and taken into account. Current identification methods (manual and automatic) are subject to variable quality, inconsistencies or human errors. Moreover, manual methods suffer from their inability to scale to increasing data volumes, an important property when dealing with very large data volumes as in the case of long-term monitoring. In this work, we present a systematic strategy to identify a multitude of external influence sources, characterize and quantify their impact and develop methods for automated identification in microseismic signals. We apply the strategy developed to a real-world, multi-sensor, multi-year microseismic monitoring experiment performed at the Matterhorn Hörnligrat (Switzerland). We develop and present an approach based on convolutional neural networks for microseismic data to detect external influences originating in mountaineers, a major unwanted influence, with an error rate of less than 1 %, 3 times lower than comparable algorithms. Moreover, we present an ensemble classifier for the same task, obtaining an error rate of 0.79 % and an F1 score of 0.9383 by jointly using time-lapse image and microseismic data on an annotated subset of the monitoring data. Applying these classifiers to the whole experimental dataset reveals that approximately one-fourth of events detected by an event detector without such a preprocessing step are not due to seismic activity but due to anthropogenic influences and that time periods with mountaineer activity have a 9 times higher event rate. Due to these findings, we argue that a systematic identification of external influences using a semi-automated approach and machine learning techniques as presented in this paper is a prerequisite for the qualitative and quantitative analysis of long-term monitoring experiments.