Abstract

In this article forecasting of daily closing price series of Bitcoin, Ripple, Dash, Litecoin and Ethereum crypto currencies, using data on prices (open, low, high), market capital and volumes using prior days is focused. The value conduct of cryptographic forms of money remains to a great extent neglected, giving new chances to scientists and business analysts to feature the likenesses and contrasts with standard monetary costs. Hence the paper is focused on this area. he results are compared with various benchmarks. Predictions are done using statistical techniques and machine learning algorithms. A simple linear regression (SLR) model that uses only a single-variable sequence of closing prices for forecasting, and a multiple linear regression (MLR) model that uses a multivariate sequence of prices and quantities at the same time. The simple linear regression (SLR) model for univariate serial forecasting uses only closing prices. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and relative Root Mean Square Error (relative RMSE) performance measures are considered. The accuracy achieved by the ARIMA model on our dataset is the highest, followed by Multivariable Linear Regression and LSTM.

Highlights

  • Bit coin is a decentralized digital currency, without a central bank or single administrator that can be sent from user to user on the peer-to-peer bitcoin network without the need for intermediaries

  • All transactions on the Bitcoin network are embedded in blocks to the open ledger that is known as the block chain to be verified by the miners using cryptographic proof-of-work

  • Bitcoin is an entry in currency markets, though it is officially considered as a commodity rather than a currency, and the value conduct of it remains to a great extent neglected, giving new chances to scientists and business analysts to feature the likenesses and contrasts with standard monetary costs

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Summary

Introduction

Bit coin is a decentralized digital currency, without a central bank or single administrator that can be sent from user to user on the peer-to-peer bitcoin network without the need for intermediaries. Such digital currency allows decentralized peer- to-peer network or online transactions carried out by ‘miners’ within a network trading. All transactions on the Bitcoin network are embedded in blocks to the open ledger that is known as the block chain to be verified by the miners using cryptographic proof-of-work. The dataset consists of the closing price, volume, market capital, open price, high price and low

Literature Survey
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Techniques Used
Improvement as per reviewer comments

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