Abstract
In order to meet the projected water needs of Shandong Province in the future, the system dynamics model of water cycle system is designed. The system dynamics model of water cycle system consists of three sub-models: population growth model, water demand model and water supply model. We use the logistic growth model to forecast the population in population growth model, use the water price elasticity of water demand to show how water usage responds to price change, and analyze the desalinization rate and the purification rate of water to meet water supply. In addition, by using System Dynamics modeling software, various types of models for water cycle analysis can be simulated. The model output shows this effect clearly..
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