Abstract
SUMMARY Using the Rhine as an example, a method is shown which should render possible long-termp redictions of river-flows to a certain extend on the basis of sufficiently long series of recordings. A necessary condition is to consider hydrological processes under a non-deterministic model, which justifies the application of statistic techniques, f.e. the fitting of suitable probability distribution functions. Since one specific prediction is not possible, a first indication is given on how to draw conclusions from a greater number of forecasts.
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