Swarm intention identification via dynamic distribution probability image

Abstract

In the realm of decision-making for defense and security applications, it is paramount to swiftly and accurately identify the intentions of incoming swarms. Conventional identification methods predominantly focus on single-target applications and overlook the perturbations introduced by measurement noise. In this study, we propose a novel concept: the Dynamic Distribution Probability (DDP) image, which is constructed using the estimated state and its covariance matrix. Each grayscale pixel value within the image signifies the probability of the presence of the agent within the swarm. Our proposed identification scheme integrates the use of Extended Kalman Filter (EKF), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Back Propagation (BP) network, and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) network. Specifically, the DDP image is processed through a CNN to distill the formation characteristics, and the estimated swarm state from EKF is inputted into a BP network to deduce the kinematic information. The outputs from both networks are summed and subsequently channeled into a GRU network to capture temporal dynamics. Extensive numerical simulations and flight experiments are presented to demonstrate the robust anti-noise capability of the proposed scheme compared with conventional methods, as well as its superior training efficiency.