Abstract
The transport management mode fundamentally determines the sustainable development of high-speed rail passenger transport (HSRPT), which was shocked by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. In order to study the sustainable development mechanism of HSRPT and the impact of COVID-19, primarily based on the data from the Beijing–Shanghai high-speed rail (HSR) taken from 2018, we adopt system dynamics (SD) to provide a scenario simulation method to examination sustainable operation status of HSRPT under the entrusted transportation management mode (ETMM) by VENSIM, and take into account the following two evaluation indicators: economic and operational. The results show the following: (1) Transportation demand and commissioned transportation management fees play a vital role in the sustainable operation of the Beijing–Shanghai HSR, causing significant changes in transportation revenue and transportation costs. (2) COVID-19 had a great impact on the sustainable operation of the Beijing–Shanghai HSR. In 2020, the turnover and transportation profit of the Beijing–Shanghai HSR fell by 74.31% and 49.19%, respectively. In 2022, the transportation profit can be restored to the level of 2019. The study results reveal that Beijing–Shanghai HSR under the ETMM has a good sustainable development capability.
Highlights
High-speed railway (HSR) is the important support and guarantee for national economic and social development
This paper evaluates the SO of the Beijing–Shanghai HSR by two indicators of economic benefit and operational benefit, and it discusses the impact of COVID-19 on the operation of the Beijing–Shanghai
The research results are as follows: (1) The system dynamics (SD) model constructed in this paper can effectively simulate the SO mechanism of high-speed rail passenger transport (HSRPT) under entrusted transportation management mode (ETMM)
Summary
High-speed railway (HSR) is the important support and guarantee for national economic and social development. The Beijing–Shanghai high-speed railway is a representative of the rapid development of Chinese HSR, whose operation and management mode adopts the entrusted transportation management mode (ETMM). HSR operating enterprises are responsible for the construction and maintenance of railway lines, EMUS, stations and other infrastructure, and for daily railway transport production management, such as transport organization management and transport safety management. In this mode, HSR operating enterprises need to invest lots of manpower, time and capital costs. The proposal of ETMM is helpful to solve this problem Under this mode, the HSR operating enterprises are firstly responsible for the Sustainability 2022, 14, 1171.
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