Abstract

Land cover change is a phenomenon that often occurs along with population growth and economic activity. This phenomenon not only occurs in urban areas but also penetrates into suburban areas, which incidentally have an important role in the water flow system. The same condition occurs in the Garang Watershed, Semarang City, where changes in land cover have begun to penetrate the water catchment area. Land cover change in the Garang watershed system will certainly have consequences for potential water-related disasters, and it will get worse due to climate change. Climate change in many places has triggered a water-related disaster or hydrometeorological disaster. Land cover change and climate change are conditions that cannot be avoided but can be managed so that they do not have a negative impact on the community. To minimize the adverse impacts of land cover changes and climate change is to provide land use directions that can reduce the threat of hydrometeorological disasters so that the sustainability of the ecosystem in the Garang watershed can be maintained. One approach that can be used in the framework of sustainable land use modeling is the spatial regression method. The results of the analysis show that the role of vegetation and water reservoirs can significantly reduce the potential hazard of hydrometeorological disasters.

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