Abstract

This paper proposes a new power grid investment prediction model based on the deep restricted Boltzmann machine (DRBM) optimized by the Lion algorithm (LA). Firstly, two factors including transmission and distribution price reform (TDPR) and 5G station construction were comprehensively incorporated into the consideration of influencing factors, and the fuzzy threshold method was used to screen out critical influencing factors. Then, the LA was used to optimize the parameters of the DRBM model to improve the model's prediction accuracy, and the model was trained with the selected influencing factors and investment. Finally, the LA-DRBM model was used to predict the investment of a power grid enterprise, and the final prediction result was obtained by modifying the initial result with the modifying factors. The LA-DRBM model compensates for the deficiency of the single model, and greatly improves the investment prediction accuracy of the power grid. In this study, a power grid enterprise was taken as an example to carry out an empirical analysis to prove the validity of the model, and a comparison with the RBM, support vector machine (SVM), back propagation neural network (BPNN), and regression model was conducted to verify the superiority of the model. The conclusion indicates that the proposed model has a strong generalization ability and good robustness, is able to abstract the combination of low-level features into high-level features, and can improve the efficiency of the model's calculations for investment prediction of power grid enterprises.

Highlights

  • We analyzed the influence factors of power grid investment using a fuzzy threshold method and constructed a power grid investment prediction model using a deep restricted Boltzmann machine optimized by the Lion algorithm (LA-DRBM)

  • For the DRBM, the model parameter is ℘ = {αij, βi, γj}, αij denotes the weight between the ith node in the visible layer and the jth node in the hidden layer, βi denotes the bias value of the ith node in the visible layer, and γj denotes the bias value of the jth node in the hidden layer

  • In order to respond to the requirement of sustainable development of power grid investment and improve the accuracy of power grid investment prediction, a new power grid investment prediction model based on the LA-RBM model is proposed according to the characteristics of power grid planning and the trend of power grid investment

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Summary

Introduction

With the concept of sustainable development and green economy becoming important themes of current development in various fields, the focus on accelerating the transformation of. The intelligent algorithms proposed on the basis of traditional prediction methods include co-integration theory, particle swarm optimization theory, fuzzy analysis, back propagation neural network (BPNN), and support vector machines (SVM) These algorithms are intelligent and personalized, so they are widely used in power grid investment forecasting. We analyzed the influence factors of power grid investment using a fuzzy threshold method and constructed a power grid investment prediction model using a deep restricted Boltzmann machine optimized by the Lion algorithm (LA-DRBM). The rest of the paper is arranged as follows: Section 2 introduces the basic theories of the deep restricted Boltzmann machine and the Lion algorithm; Section 3 carries out the analysis of the influencing factors of the power grid enterprise’s investment based on a fuzzy threshold method; Section 4 uses the established model for empirical analysis; and Section 5 presents the conclusions

Basic Theories
Analysis of Critical Influencing Factors
Empirical Analysis
Conclusions
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