Abstract

In the North China Plain (NCP), the deployment of sub-optimal crop management methods has resulted in low maize grain yields and significant environmental costs arising from a low N partial factor productivity (NPFP) and a rampant greenhouse gas emission intensity (GHGi). We hypothesize that in-situ analysis of the grain yield, NPFP and GHGi at local farms might contribute to improving the crop yield, as well as the environmental sustainability of maize production systems. In this study, we investigated the maize production systems deployed at 1574 local farms in the NCP, and quantified the total yield gap (defined as the difference between the yield potential as simulated by the DSSAT-CERES-Maize model and the actual yield achieved by farmers) and the exploitable yield gap (defined as the difference between the attainable yield as calculated by using the Boundary Line Function (BLF) analysis and the average actual yield achieved by farmers). By combining the results from crop modelling, farmer survey data, and on-farm trials, we were able to identify the dominant factors driving the variability in summer maize yield, NPFP, and GHGi. The results revealed that the average grain yield for summer maize in the NCP was 8.3 t ha−1, and that the total and exploitable yield gaps were 4.9 t ha−1 and 3.0 t ha−1, respectively. The average NPFP was 41 kg kg−1, which amounts to 54% of the attainable NPFP. The average GHGi was 463 kg CO2 eq t−1 grain, which constitutes an increase of 119% over the attainable GHGi. The main factors driving yield include the harvest date and the planting density, and the main factors driving NPFP and GHGi include the N, P and K fertilization rate, where it should be noted that these factors exhibit regional differences. After testing our optimized integrated agronomic management measures in the field experiments, we could confirm that it is possible to narrow the yield gap by 2.7 t ha−1, increase NPFP by 38%, and reduce GHGi by 28%. Obviously, optimizing integrated agronomic management has a great potential for narrowing the yield gap and improving the sustainability of agricultural production.

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