Abstract

The growth of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) is seen as a driving force for the sustainable development of agriculture. Meanwhile, the promotion of urbanization in China has exerted a profound impact on agricultural production. This paper calculates the agricultural TFP and analyzes the effect of urbanization. Firstly, the DEA-Malmquist method is used to calculate the dynamic change in agricultural TFP in China from 2004 to 2016. Secondly, the spatial spillover effect of urbanization on agricultural TFP is investigated by the spatial Durbin model. We found that: the average annual growth rate of agricultural TFP in China is 4.8% from 2004 to 2016; and the spillover effect of urbanization on agricultural TFP shows a U-shaped relationship, which means that urbanization has exerted a negative effect first and then a positive effect on agricultural TFP. Finally, the paper puts forward policy suggestions from the perspective of sustainable coordination of urbanization and agricultural production.

Highlights

  • Productivity and Its SpatialChina has always been the major grain producer and consumer in the world

  • According to the above theoretical analysis, this paper aims at filling the gap of identifying the impact of urbanization on agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) from the perspective of space

  • It indicates that the growth of agricultural TFP may contribute to the enhancement of agriculture

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Summary

Introduction

Productivity and Its SpatialChina has always been the major grain producer and consumer in the world. Ensuring the steady growth of agricultural output is important for the nutrition and health of Chinese citizens. In order to ensure the stable development of agricultural production, the Chinese Government issued the NO.. Central Documents related to agriculture from 2004 and China’s grain production has increased for 12 consecutive years. The continuous growth of agricultural output in China can be attributed to two reasons: the increase in agricultural input factors such as labor force, cultivated land, machinery, pesticide and fertilizer; and the sustainable growth of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) [1,2]. It is generally believed that the development of China’s agricultural production has been driven by high input. The growth of agricultural TFP is seen as a better pathway for sustainable development

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