Survival following early hormone therapy for men with rapid PSA doubling time within 2 years following radical prostatectomy

Abstract

5065 Background: Early hormonal therapy has been used in the salvage setting for men with biochemical recurrence following radical prostatectomy (RP), but no studies to date have been able to evaluate whether such treatment prolongs survival. We examined the impact of salvage hormonal therapy on overall survival (OS) in a cohort with long-term follow-up, and attempted to identify the subgroup most likely to benefit. Methods: Retrospective analysis of a cohort of 488 men undergoing RP at Johns Hopkins Hospital from 1982–2004, who experienced biochemical recurrence and received no salvage therapy (n = 386) or salvage hormonal therapy (n = 102); no one received adjuvant therapy. Survival was defined from biochemical recurrence to death from all causes, and analyzed with proportional hazards models with time-dependent covariates. Results: With median follow-up of 6 years after recurrence and 9 years after RP, there were 143 deaths (29%), including 105 from prostate cancer. After adjusting for PSA doubling time (PSADT), RP Gleason score, and year of surgery, hormonal therapy did not significantly improve OS for all men, compared to no salvage therapy: hazard ratio (HR) = 0.72 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.45–1.17), p = 0.187. However, when restricted to men with early recurrence, i.e. within 2 years of RP, and with a rapid PSADT<6 months, hormonal therapy was associated with a large, significant improvement in OS: HR = 0.25 (95% CI: 0.08–0.71), p = 0.0095. This subgroup comprised 22% of the cohort. In contrast, there was no benefit of salvage hormonal therapy in men with early recurrence and PSADT>6 months: HR = 1.96 (95% CI: 0.89–4.31), p = 0.093, nor those who recurred more than 2 years after RP, regardless of PSADT. Conclusions: This study suggests that early salvage hormonal therapy may significantly and substantially prolong overall survival in the subgroup of men who experience an early biochemical recurrence with a rapid PSADT. These results are consistent with early recurrences being indicative of metastatic disease, while later recurrences are more likely to represent local recurrence. If validated, these results may provide useful stratification criteria for clinical trials. No significant financial relationships to disclose.