Survival by HER2 receptor status in stage IV breast cancer: SEER 2010-2012.

Abstract

1032 Background: Therapeutic advances have altered the course of once highly lethal HER2+ breast cancer (BC). We report survival in a recent population-based cohort by HER2 status, overall, and within hormone receptor(HR)+ BC. Methods: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program data were queried to identify women diagnosed 2010-2012 with Stage IV BC as first cancer. Patients were grouped by HER2 and HR status. Kaplan Meier estimates of 3-yr observed survival (OS) were compared with log-rank tests. A multivariate cox model was fitted for the HER2+ cohort. Results: 3-yr OS for HER2+(any HR), HR+/HER- and triple-negative (TN) BC was 52.3%, 48.4% and 16.0% respectively (p<0.01 HER2+(any HR) vs TNBC; p=0.20 HER2+(any HR) vs HR+/HER2-). Across registries, OS for HER2+(any HR) BC ranged from 29.2% to 61.7% (p=0.05). On Cox model, survival in HER2+(any HR) BC was associated with age 50+ (Hazard ratio (HR) 1.84, 95% CI 1.45-2.34), HR+ status (HR 0.70, 0.58-0.84), high histologic grade (HR 1.30, 0.58-0.84), surgery (HR 0.40, 0.33-0.49), separated marital status (HR 1.72, 1.4-2.13), year 2012 (HR 0.81, 0.64-1.04), and registry (varies by reference group). For HR+ BC, OS also differed by HER2 status: 55.3% for HR+/HER+ and 48.4% for HR+/HER2- (p<0.01). 3-yr OS by HER2 status for women presenting with HR+ BC is shown (Table). Conclusions: Survival in de novo Stage IV HER2+ BC in the United States exceeds that in HER2- BC, with median survival >3 yrs. Survival was significantly better for HR+/HER+ BC than HR+/HER- BC. Disparate OS in HER2+ BC suggest opportunities may remain to fully realize advances in HER2-directed therapy. Given recent therapeutic advances, the trend of HER2+ survival gains from 2010 to 2012 will likely continue. [Table: see text]