Abstract

Abstract : The study objective was to survey nuclear damage assessment schemes that would be appropriate to tactical nuclear warfare analysis for the Theater Nuclear Force/Survivability (TNF/S) program. The survey asks, 'Is there a code (1) suitable for sensitivity studies that seek to improve theater nuclear force survival and (2) that properly utilizes nuclear vulnerability data.' Significant characteristics of surveyed codes were compared with an 'ideal code' that would be appropriate to TNF/S. Attention was given to the specific methodology used for damage calculation and its utltimate utility for sensitivity analyses. Most codes could not be used 'off the shelf' because of inappropriate orientation, too high aggregation, or inappropriate methodology for performing sensitivity studies. In addition to obviating the above, the ideal code is modular, calculates nuclear environments individually, and then calculates separately the probability of damage from each environment.

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