Surface-Wave Dispersion Approach for Evaluating Statistical Models That Account for Shear-Wave Velocity Uncertainty

Abstract

AbstractA number of strategies exist to account for the epistemic uncertainty and aleatory variability in shear-wave velocity (Vs) profiles used in site response analyses. Epistemic uncertainty may be accounted for by using median and bounding-type profiles (e.g., ±20%), while aleatory variability may be accounted for by using Vs randomization procedures. A robust, quantitative method to help judge how well these statistically derived Vs profiles represent actual subsurface stiffness or layering conditions is currently not available. This paper presents a surface-wave dispersion approach for evaluating statistical models meant to account for Vs uncertainty in site response. Specifically, surface-wave dispersion data from two geologically disparate sites were used to generate 1,000 Vs profiles and layered earth models whose theoretical dispersion curves fit within the uncertainty bounds of the experimental data collected at each site. Additionally, theoretical dispersion curves generated from statistical ...