Abstract
The Covid-19 pandemic that is happening now is affecting the economy. This study aims to examine changes in the supply of consumer goods to Bali from outside Bali in the Indonesian territory and changes in the per capita consumption of the Balinese population, due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Two events were observed, namely the first event was the announcement of the first positive case of Covid-19 in Indonesia, and the 2nd event was the determination of the status of a national disaster by the Indonesian government. Data analysis was performed using a different test with the SPSS v.23 program. The results of the analysis found that there was a difference in the supply of consumer goods to Bali from outside Bali and the per capita consumption of the Balinese population in the first and 2nd events. The supply of consumer goods and per capita consumption decreased significantly after the announcement of the first positive case of Covid-19 and then further decreased after the Indonesian government declared a national disaster status. The determination of the status of a national disaster has a greater impact on reducing the per capita consumption of the Balinese population than the announcement of the first Covid-19 patient. As a result of Covid-19, it is hoped that the Bali Provincial Government needs to make policy breakthroughs to encourage the fulfillment of consumer goods needs in Bali independently so that they do not always depend on supplies from outside Bali. The Covid-19 pandemic has reduced people's income and reduced buying power, thus demanding people to be smarter in managing finances, including adjusting consumption patterns according to the priority scale of needs.
Highlights
The widespread spread of the Covid-19 pandemic in the world including Indonesia certainly has an impact on the economic stretch
The World Health Organization (WHO) has stated that Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID19) is a pandemic and Indonesia has stated that covid-19 as a non-natural disaster in the form of disease pandemics which must be undertaken as an effort to prevent it from increasing cases
The first event is considered local announcement of the discovery of the first case of bad news because only the first Covid-19 patient Covid-19, and the 2nd event, namely the was found in certain areas, while the second determination of the status of a national disaster, event covers a broader range of information in had a significant impact on the decline in Indonesia, so the level of information contained consumption per capita of the population of Bali
Summary
The widespread spread of the Covid-19 pandemic in the world including Indonesia certainly has an impact on the economic stretch. The decrease in March almost doubled from December 2019, indicating that the determination of the status of a national disaster had a significant impact on reducing the supply of consumer goods in Bali. The calculation of the supply of consumer goods due to an event in this study is formulated in equation (1). The gap in the supply of consumer goods can be calculated by the formula in equation (3): Where : GDSt = Gap of supply of consumer goods in the t-period, RDSt = supply of consumer goods due to events in the t-period, EDSt = supply of normal consumption goods in the t-estimated period. To test whether the Covid-19 pandemic caused differences in per capita consumption of Bali population before and after the announcement by the government.
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