Summer temperature variability inferred from subfossil chironomid assemblages from the south-east margin of the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau for the last 5000 years

Abstract

We present a quantitative mean July temperature record spanning the last c. 5000 years from an alpine lake in south-western China. The reconstruction is based on the application of an established chironomid-based inference model using 100 lakes from the region. The reconstructed summer temperature changes are within 2.4°C of modern throughout the record. The results suggest that the summer temperature changes in south-east margin of the Qinghai–Tibetan plateau (QTP) predominantly responds to Asian Summer Monsoon influence, forced by summer insolation until c. 3200 cal. BP. Four cooling events, each separated by c. 500 years (between 3200 and 1600 cal. BP), were observed and these may correspond to the 500-year quasi-periodic solar fluctuation. The most recent cooling period, that is, ‘the Little Ice Age’, appears robust in the Heihai Lake record, providing further evidence that a hemisphere-wide forcing mechanism is possible for this climate event.