Abstract

Semi‐natural mountain grasslands are increasingly exposed to environmental stress under climate change. However, which are the environmental factors that limit plants in these grasslands? Also, is the present management effective against these changes? Fitness‐related functional traits may offer a way to detect changes in performance and provide new insights into their vulnerability to climate change. We investigated changes in performance and variability of functional traits of the mountain grassland target species Arnica montana along a climate gradient in Central German low mountain ranges. This gradient represents at its lower end climate conditions that are expected at its upper end under future climate change. We measured vegetative, generative, and physiological traits to account for multiple ways of plant responses to the environment. Using mixed effects and multivariate models, we evaluated changes in trait values among individuals as well as the variability of their populations in order to assess performance under changing summer aridity and different management regimes. Fitness‐related performance of most traits showed strongly positive associations with reduced summer aridity at higher elevations, while only specific leaf area and leaf dry matter content showed no association. This suggests a higher performance level at less arid montane sites and that the physiological traits are less sensitive to this climate change factor. The coefficient of variation of almost all traits declined steadily with decreasing site aridity. We suggest that this reduced variability indicates a lower environmental stress level for A. montana toward its environmental optimum at montane elevations, especially because the trait performance increased simultaneously. Surprisingly, management factors and habitat characteristics had only low influence on both trait performance and variability. In summary, summer aridity had a stronger effect to shape the trait performance and variability of A. montana under increased environmental stress than management and other habitat characteristics.

Highlights

  • Anthropogenic climate change is considered a major factor in the current and future biodiversity decline (Butchart et al, 2010)

  • The results of this study emphasise the importance of summer aridity for both the trait performance of individuals and the populations’ trait variability of the endangered mountain plant species A. montana

  • Summer aridity has been identified to play a major role in the ecological response pattern of fitness-related plant functional traits of the summer-green A. montana to a changing climate

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Summary

Introduction

Anthropogenic climate change is considered a major factor in the current and future biodiversity decline (Butchart et al, 2010). Ecosystems that are considered as highly vulnerable to these environmental changes are semi-natural grasslands in mountain regions (Tasser, Leitinger, & Tappeiner, 2017). For these grasslands, climate-related changes in species range limits, changes in species composition and in diversity and even local extinctions of species are reported (Gritsch, Dirnboeck, & Dullinger, 2016; Rumpf et al, 2018; Wiens, 2016). One approach to fill this gap is the space-for-time substitution approach that uses the variation of environmental covariates of a species’ natural distribution (space) to learn how functional traits vary with climatic variables that may change in future (time) (Blois, Williams, Fitzpatrick, Jackson, & Ferrier, 2013)

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