Abstract

Neil MacDonald outlines a case study of an approach to planning that embraces unpredictability for northern-based charity- or project-run international NGOs. The approach is scenario analysis, widely used in the private sector since the 1970s, but only now beginning to make its appearance in the development sector. He illustrates the power of the tool in helping INGOs to confront unexpected possibilities by showing how CARE International UK and CARE in the Sudan, both used scenario planning to clarify their role and objectives.

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