Abstract

The purposes of this study are: (1) to empirically identify decision-making preferences of long-term health-care use, especially informal and formal home care (FHC) service use; (2) to evaluate outcomes vs. costs based on substitutability of informal and FHC service use; and (3) to investigate health outcome disparity based on substitutability. The methods of ordinary least squares, a logit model, and a bivariate probit model are used by controlling for socioeconomic, demographic, and physical/mental health factors to investigate outcomes and costs based substitutability of informal and formal health-care use. The data come from the 2013 Japanese Study of Aging and Retirement (JSTAR), which is designed by Keizai-Sangyo Kenkyu-jo, Hitotsubashi University, and the University of Tokyo. The JSTAR is a globally comparable data survey of the elderly. There exists a complement relationship between the informal home care (IHC) and community-based FHC services, and the elasticity's ranges from 0.18 to 0.22. These are reasonable results, which show that unobservable factors are positively related to IHC and community-based FHC, but negatively related to nursing home (NH) services based on our bivariate probit model. Regarding health-care outcome efficiency issue, the IHC is the best one among three types of elderly care: IHC, community-based FHC, and NH services. Health improvement/outcome of elderly with the IHC is heavier concentrated on IHC services than the elderly care services by community-based FHC and NH care services. Policy makers need to address a diversity of health outcomes and efficiency of services based on providing services to elderly through resource allocation to the different types of long-term care. A provision of partial or full compensation for elderly care at home is recommendable and a viable option to improve their quality of lives.

Highlights

  • The rapid increase in an aging population through a prolonged life expectancy combined with an increase in dependent elderly in Japan [1, 2] has caused a shortage of labor supply, a deterioration of the pension system, an upsurge in health-care costs, and a change in elderly nursing care programs/policies [3]

  • The primary parameter of interest in this study is the influence of behavioral preferences or choices of home care or nursing home care

  • Using “bivariate probit model,” we examined the relationship and substitution between IHC and community-based FHC, and NH, our results indicate that unobservable factors are positively related to IHC and community-based FHC, but negatively related to nursing home care

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Summary

Introduction

The rapid increase in an aging population through a prolonged life expectancy combined with an increase in dependent elderly in Japan [1, 2] has caused a shortage of labor supply (a decrease in the labor force participation rate from 60% in 2010 to 54% in 2030), a deterioration of the pension system (from one elderly vs. 2.4 working age persons in 2012 to 1.2 persons in 2060), an upsurge in health-care costs (an increase in health spending in % of GDP from 9% in 2010 to 14% in 2020, and to 19% in 2030), and a change in elderly nursing care programs/policies [3]. This is imperative because of the tightening health-care economy in addition to a lack of human resources, long-term care facilities, and financial resources. Is a change in policy/program from institutional formal care to a community-based formal/ informal care efficient and sufficient?

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