Subpulmonary Stenosis Assessed in Midtrimester Fetuses With Tetralogy of Fallot: A Novel Method for Predicting Postnatal Clinical Outcome

Abstract

This study aimed to determine whether quantification of subpulmonary stenosis (SPS) in tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) in the second-trimester fetus can predict postnatal clinical outcome measured by pulmonary valve size and/or timing or type of intervention. The study retrospectively identified fetuses with TOF from 1998 to 2010 diagnosed at 26 weeks gestation or earlier. The data evaluated included pre- and postnatal pulmonary valve z-scores (PVZ). To quantify fetal SPS, the authors created a novel index, the SPS/DAO ratio, a ratio of the minimum infundibular diameter to the descending aorta diameter (DAO). Multiple linear regression was used to predict postnatal PVZ from prenatally determined parameters, including SPS/DAO. Fetal parameters were analyzed by logistic regression for association with postnatal outcomes, namely, timing of surgery (<1 month), used as a surrogate for severity, and type of surgery [transannular patch (TAP) vs valve sparing surgery]. A total of 23 fetuses met the inclusion criteria. The mean gestational age was 21.8 ± 1.9 weeks (range, 16.6-25.4 weeks). There was excellent correlation between predicted and measured PVZ (r = 0.82; p < 0.0001) using the following derived equation: -3.68 + (0.91 × prenatal PVZ) - (4.44 × SPS/DAO) - 3.19 (prenatal PVZ × SPS/DAO). An SPS/DAO value lower than 0.5 had 100 % sensitivity and 56 % specificity for repair before the age of 1 month, and a value lower than 0.47 had 100 % sensitivity and 75 % specificity for TAP repair. Prenatal PVZ and the SPS/DAO ratio at 26 weeks gestation or earlier can reliably predict postnatal PVZ in fetuses with TOF. Quantification of SPS with the SPS/DAO ratio identifies patients who may require early intervention secondary to disease severity and may predict the type of repair, thereby influencing prenatal counseling.