Abstract
SUMMARY Subjective probability is defined and its place in decision analysis, with special reference to business problems, is identified. The literature on its measurement is critically analysed both for the single decision-maker and group. The use of direct fractile assessment and the Delphi Technique are felt to be some of the more tenable of the methods reviewed. An account of some of the behavioural aspects of decision-making with a resume of the risky shift theories is included and their implications are discussed. Some practical guidelines and suggestions for further research are indicated.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
More From: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General)
Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.