Abstract

In order to make the forecasting results of intercity rail transit's passenger volume conform to the actual situation, as well as that the model of intercity passengers' trip mode choice can better reflect the actual situation, this paper will take the following two aspects into account: one is that different socio-economic characterized intercity passengers will choose different ways to travel; the other is that intercity passengers' whole travel is classified into urban trip and transport corridor trip. Therefore, when determine characteristic variables of the utility function, in addition to the travel time and cost, comfort and safety will also be included, and be quantified following the scoring method. After all the above analysis, the logit model based on cluster analysis method will be established, and the reliability and effect of the model will be verified through an example.

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