Abstract
China has implemented a series of ecological protection and restoration projects in Tianshan Mountain and Yili Valley in Xinjiang, which have significantly improved regional vegetation coverage. Vegetation improves soil structure through roots, especially increasing non-capillary porosity, which enhances the precipitation infiltration performance, thus reducing surface runoff, increasing the interception and infiltration of groundwater resources, and enhancing regional water retention capacity of soil. In order to quantitatively study the impact of ecological conservation and restoration (represented by fraction of natural vegetation coverage, FVC) on groundwater storage (GWS), we investigated GWS changes in this region, identified the main factors, and quantified their relative impacts. Here, we combined data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite, GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO), and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) hydrological model from January 2003 to December 2020 and evaluated GWS changes. We used the variable importance in projection and partial least squares regression methods to determine the main influencing factors. We found that (1) before and after 2012, GWS decreased at a rate of 0.80 cm/yr and 0.75 cm/yr (with statistical significance p < 0.01), respectively. (2) Before 2012, the main factors affecting the decrease in GWS were agricultural planting areas, and after 2012, they were temperature, evaporation, and FVC, with relative contributions of 54.72%, 34.59%, and 10.69%, respectively. FVC has a positive regulating effect on the increase in regional GWS.
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