Study on the effect of digital economy development on carbon emissions: evidence from 30 provinces in China.

Environmental regulation, Foreign investment behavior, and carbon emissions for 30 provinces in China

Under the new development model, the digital economy has become a new engine to promote the green development of the economy and realize the goal of “double carbon”. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2020, this paper empirically investigates the impact of the development of the digital economy on energy and carbon emissions using a series of econometric models such as baseline regression, a mechanism test, and the spatial Durbin model, etc. Common prosperity plays an intermediary role between digital economy development and carbon emissions; digital economic development optimizes resource allocation, effectively solves the problem of uneven resource distribution, and reduces energy and carbon emissions while achieving common prosperity. In addition, green innovation, industrial structure, urbanization level, R&D intensity, and the degree of marketization also have different degrees of influence on energy and carbon emissions. Therefore, the government should accelerate the construction of new digital infrastructure and implement the digital economy development strategy according to local conditions, so as to promote the digital economy to produce a more significant carbon emission reduction effect.

<p _msthash="770" _msttexthash="18511649104"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Under the background of China's “double carbon” goal, digital economy has become an important way to reduce carbon emissions in China. This paper utilizes the provincial panel data of China from 2012 to 2022, introduces the perspective of agricultural science and technology innovation, empirically examines the impact mechanism of regional digital economy development on agricultural carbon emission through regression analysis model, and portrays the dynamic effect and spillover effect of digital economy development on agricultural carbon emission from both time and space dimensions. The empirical results show that: digital economic development will have a significant inhibitory effect on the intensity of agricultural carbon emissions, and the inhibitory effect will be indirectly affected through the path of agricultural scientific and technological innovation; the impact of digital economic development on the intensity of agricultural carbon emissions there is a time lag effect, the current stage of the digital economic development will still have a strong inhibitory effect on the intensity of agricultural carbon emissions in the future; Digital economic development has a spatial spillover effect, i.e., the development of the regional digital economy will have an inhibitory effect on the intensity of agricultural carbon emissions in neighboring provinces. Based on this, it is proposed to strengthen the construction of digital infrastructure, promote the coordinated development of the digital economy in the region, and formulate policies to reduce carbon emissions in agriculture.</span></span></p>

With the proposal of “Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality” goals, China is facing a more serious carbon emissions reduction situation, and how the booming digital economy effectively helps China’s carbon emissions reduction is one of the most urgent things that should be solved. To study the impact of the digital economy on carbon emission intensity, this paper is based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China (excluding Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) from 2011 to 2021, and applies the double-fixed effect model and the threshold effect model to study the impact of the digital economy on carbon emission intensity and the mechanism of its action, as well as to analyze the mechanism of the digital economy’s action on carbon emission intensity from the perspective of technological innovation. The results of the study show that: i) The digital economy can reduce the intensity of regional carbon emissions; ii) The carbon emission reduction effect of the digital economy is non-linear, and its carbon emission reduction effect gradually increases with the level of development of the digital economy; iii) In addition to the direct impact of the digital economy on carbon emission intensity, it also has an indirect impact on carbon emissions through technological innovation; iv) There is regional heterogeneity in the carbon emission reduction effect of the digital economy, and the carbon emission reduction effect is more significant in the central and western parts of the country and regions with a high level of human capital development. Based on the conclusions obtained, this paper suggests: i) The rational integration of the digital economy and regional development should be strengthened; ii) Strong provinces in the digital economy should be encouraged to help weaker provinces, to narrow the “digital divide” between provinces; iii) Differentiated development strategies should be formulated in accordance with local conditions, to give full play to the optimal effect of the digital economy in carbon emission reduction.

Digital economy is an important direction of the new round of technological revolution and a key driving force for realizing the “double control of carbon emissions”. This paper utilizes the panel data of 30 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2011 to 2021 to measure the development level of the digital economy, total carbon emissions, and carbon emission intensity and explores the impact of the digital economy on the dual control of carbon emissions and the mechanism of its effect by applying the mediating and moderating effect models. The results show that the digital economy can play a significant inhibitory effect on total carbon emissions and carbon emissions intensity, and this conclusion is still robust after a series of tests. From the government level, there exists a transmission path of “digital economy → environmental regulation stringency → dual control of carbon emissions”; from the enterprise and research organization level, there also exists a transmission path of “digital economy → R&D intensity → dual control of carbon emissions”. From the perspective of regional imbalance, there are large regional differences in the impact of the digital economy on the dual control of carbon emissions, and there are also large differences in the impact of the various subdivided indicators of the digital economy on the dual control of carbon emissions. In addition, this paper also finds that the positive effect of the digital economy on the dual control of carbon emissions is more obvious in regions with a smaller proportion of SOEs. These findings add new evidence to the study of “the impact of the digital economy on the dual control of carbon emissions” and provide new ideas for accelerating the realization of green and sustainable development.

Heterogeneous effect of digital economy on carbon emission reduction

The iterative upgrading of digital technology and the implementation of “carbon-peaking and carbon neutrality” national strategy provide an opportunity for the synergistic integration of digital economy and green economy in China, thus, whether the development of digital economy can curb urban carbon emission intensity (CEI) remains to be answered. Based on the panel data of 110 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) region from 2011 to 2020, this paper investigated the impact of digital economy on CEI by using the dual fixed-effect model, the mediating mechanism model and the spatial Durbin model. The main results are as follows: (1) The development of digital economy in the YREB region can lower down CEI, promote the rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure, and improve cities’ green innovation capacity; (2) CEI was reduced through the intermediary effect of industrial structure optimization and upgrading and green technology innovation; (3) Digital economy shows a significant positive spatial correlation, and exerts a spatial spillover effect of reducing CEI in surrounding cities with obvious spatial heterogeneity; (4) Digital economy has a stronger inhibitory impact on CEI in the downstream cities and cities within the urban agglomerations; (5) In addition to digital infrastructure, the remaining components of digital economy, directly and indirectly, diminish CEI. At last, according to the research findings, suggestions for digital economy development in the YREB region are put forward.

(1) Background: In light of the global economy’s digitalization and the “double carbon” target constraint, the digital economy is essential to fostering scientific and technological innovation, green growth, and lowering energy emissions. (2) Methods: This paper measures the digital economic index and carbon emission intensity and analyzes their characteristics in spatial and temporal dimensions using 282 Chinese urban panel data by improving various statistical methods of panel data, such as the entropy method, fixed effect model, multi-period DID model, moderating effect model and intermediary effect model. This paper examines the extent and mechanism of the digital economy’s impact on urban carbon emissions. (3) Results: During the sample period, the overall trend of the digital economy in China was one of constant growth, showing an unbalanced distribution pattern of “high in the eastern regions, lower in the central regions and lowest in the western regions” in the spatial dimension. Carbon emissions can be significantly decreased by the digital economy, which has a dynamic effect and an inverted U-shaped trend in its influence. The digital economy plays a significant role in reducing carbon emissions through the rational layout of industrial structures. The transmission mechanisms for the digital economy’s goal of reducing carbon emissions include environmental regulation and green technology innovation. (4) Conclusion: The research findings provide a reference for multiple decision makers to better formulate carbon emission policies and realize carbon emission decrease in the digital economy.

Accelerating technological innovation and constructing a green and low-carbon economic development system is crucial for China to realize carbon emission reduction and then reach the goal of "double carbon"。 Utilizing data from 30 provinces in China spanning 2005 to 2019, this study examines the influence of technological innovation on carbon emission intensity. This investigation employs the STIRPAT model in conjunction with a spatial econometric model. Furthermore, the study introduces an upgraded industrial structure, selecting three key dimensions—rationalization, advancement, and ecology—to assess the industrial structure's level holistically. The objective is to delve into its mediating role between technological innovation and carbon emission intensity. The study's findings indicate that technological innovation markedly curtails carbon emission intensity. The upgraded industrial structure serves as a partial mediator between the two, with the advanced industrial structure exhibiting the most profound impact. Additionally, the regional carbon emission intensity in China displays a notable positive spatial correlation. Moreover, there's a discernible spatial spillover effect associated with technological innovation's influence on carbon emission intensity.

With the rapid development of digital technology worldwide, can the digital economy promote not only macroeconomic growth but also green and low-carbon economic development? On the basis of the urban panel data in China from 2000 to 2019, this study uses a staggered difference-in-difference (DID) model to explore whether or how the digital economy reduces carbon emission intensity. Results show the following. (1) The development of digital economy is conducive to reducing the carbon emission intensity of local cities, and the above conclusion is relatively stable. (2) There is strong heterogeneity in the impact of digital economy development on carbon emission intensity in different regions and different types of cities. Chinese smart city construction in southern cities, non-resource-based cities, and environment protection-focused cities significantly reduces urban carbon emission intensity. (3) Mechanism analysis shows that the digital economy can promote the upgrading of the industrial structure, improve the efficiency of energy utilization, improve the efficiency of environmental regulation, reduce the mobility of the urban population, improve the environmental protection awareness of residents, promote the modernization of social services, and achieve emission reduction from the "production side" and "living side." (4) Further analysis shows the change of the influence between the two in the space-time dimension. In the spatial dimension, the development of digital economy can promote the reduction of carbon emission intensity in neighboring cities. In the time dimension, the early stage of digital economy development may increase the intensity of urban carbon emissions. The energy-intensive nature of digital infrastructure leads to lower energy utilization efficiency in cities, thus improving urban carbon emission intensity.

Impact and transmission mechanism of digital economy on agricultural energy carbon emission reduction

Digital economy, energy efficiency, and carbon emissions: Evidence from provincial panel data in China

Using fixed, mediating, and moderating effect models, we explored the impact of the digital economy on carbon emission intensity and its mechanisms based on panel data of 100 cities in 6 Chinese urban agglomerations from 2011 to 2019. The results show that (1) the digital economy development in the urban agglomerations can significantly reduce carbon emission intensity. (2) The digital economy in the urban agglomerations can indirectly reduce carbon emission intensity through the channels of green technology innovation and the information communications technology (ICT) industry. Furthermore, a higher degree of marketization in the urban agglomerations leads to a more pronounced effect of the digital economy on reducing carbon emission intensity. (3) The impact of the digital economy on the carbon emission intensity in the urban agglomerations is regionally heterogeneous. When the carbon emission intensity is at different quantiles, the effects of the digital economy on reducing carbon emission intensity are different. (4) The digital economy development has different impacts on carbon emission intensity when different urban agglomerations are approved. The digital economy development in the urban agglomerations can better reduce carbon emission intensity than that in other cities. Currently, China is in a significant period of rapid digital economy development and energy conservation and emission reduction. We revealed some new features of the digital economy and carbon emission intensity in urban agglomerations, providing a reference for promoting the construction of urban agglomerations, developing the digital economy, and reducing carbon emission intensity.

To delve into the interrelationship between the green transformation of industry and the economy’s high-quality development, to promote the coordinated development of industrial carbon emission efficiency and digital economy, to expand the scope and research ideas related to economic and social sustainable development, and to provide scientific reference for the low-carbon sustainable development of regional economy, this article introduced a data-centric methodology for evaluating the collaborative advancement of both industrial enterprises’ carbon emission efficiency and the digital economy. To accurately gauge the carbon footprint of industrial enterprises, models focusing on carbon emissions as well as carbon emission intensity were employed. To enhance the precision of evaluation outcomes and mitigate biases stemming from subjective weighting factors, we employed the entropy weight method to objectively assign weights to each indicator. Furthermore, the super-efficient slack-based model (SBM) can solve the problem that the conclusions are biased, due to the different radial. Subsequently, a carbon-emission efficiency slack-based measure model, and models for coupling degree and coupling-coordination degree were formulated. Anhui, as a central province in China, is also an important province in the Yangtze River Delta integration development. Coordinated development of its carbon emission efficiency and digital economy has important implications for the sustainable economy advancements of other regions in China, and even other countries or regions in the world. Therefore, Anhui was selected to be the empirical research sample. The results showed that the comprehensive levels of these two systems followed an increasing trend, while the digital economy lagged. Their coupling degree fluctuated and reached its highest point in 2021, whereas their coupling-coordination degree increased, showing high coupling and low coordination overall. This study proposes specific countermeasures and suggestions for the relevant decision-makers.

Under the "Digital China" strategy and "Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality" goal, it is significant to explore the carbon reduction effect from the digital economy development in a multi-dimensional way. Based on the panel data of 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region from 2011 to 2019, this study uses mechanism test model, threshold effect model, and spatial Durbin model which empirically test the influence mechanism and spatial spillover effect of digital economy development on regional CEI. The research found that (1) the digital economy development in the BTH region can reduce regional CEI, and it passes the endogenous test; (2) the digital economy indexes of 13 cities in the BTH region have significantly increased with time evolution, but there is obvious spatial unevenness; the CEI of each city except Tianjin decreases significantly with time evolution, and Tianjin shows a trend of decreasing and then increasing; (3) digital economy has a positive spatial correlation, showing the characteristics of "H-H" and "L-L" clustering. Furthermore, the digital economy has a spatial spillover effect on the CEI of neighboring cities; (4) the digital economy development can promote the industrial structure rationalization and upgrade, improves the urban green innovation quantity and quality, then reduces the regional CEI through them; and (5) the impact strength of digital economy on CEI varies at different threshold intervals of the mechanism variable.