Abstract
Objective To describe and analyze the status quo of the doctor and nurse configuration in Heilongjiang Province, and to study their cultivation condition while predicting the number of medical staff. Methods Through the health workforce database of Heilongjiang Province in 2014, using Excel 2007 statistical software, the status quo of doctor and nurse configuration was analyzed. The grey prediction model was also used to analyze the number of medical staff in Heilongjiang province from 2004 to 2014, and the number of medical staff in Heilongjiang province from 2016 to 2018 was predicted. Results Up to 2015, the number of doctors and nurses in Heilongjiang Province accounted for 0.42% of the total population, composed of mainly young and middle-aged staff and mostly with bachelor’s degree and junior college cer-tificate. Doctor-to-nurse ratio was 1∶0.96. The grey prediction model indicated that the number of medical staff in Heilongjiang Province would increase year by year, and the inversion of doctor-to-nurse ratio would be eased. Conclusion The reform and development of medical education in Heilongjiang Province has promoted the optimization of the professional title structure and educational structure. It is expected that by 2016 Heilongjiang medical care ratio inversion problem will be completely resolved. Key words: Heilongjiang Province; Doctors and nurses; Configuration; Grey prediction model; Doctor-to-nurse ratio
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