Abstract
The aged tendency of population in Nanjing has become more and more serious. As an important part of the elders’ daily life, bus trip deserves a close examination from different perspectives and in different ways. In order to understand the travel patterns and the use of the city’s transit system of the senior citizens in Nanjing, this paper conducts a survey on the elderly. Analyses yield the overall travel characteristics, travel frequencies, and the main travel modes of the elderly in Nanjing. The rules of variation of elders’ travel behaviors with age and the choice of the main travel modes of the elderly in 20 years have been analyzed and predicted. Taking convenience, cost, speed, comfort, safety and free choice of travel time as the influencing factors, the estimation model is developed by binomial Logit model. Besides, in order to solve some common problems in bus service, we put forward some suggestions referred to other districts, as well as having an outlook of the bus service in the future.
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