Abstract

In addition to implementing active water resource allocation measures to solve the serious groundwater overexploitation problem caused by large-scale rice planting in the Sanjiang Plain, the reasonable adjustment of rice planting areas is another method of doing so. From the perspective of groundwater recharge and discharge balance, this paper carries out a novel assessment of suitable rice planting areas in the Sanjiang Plain, which is expected to provide a new method for the implementation of land exploitation according to water resource conditions. The technical scheme is as follows: by adjusting the water resource allocation data and rice spatial distribution data in the surface water–groundwater coupled model (baseline model with dynamic land use) in the Sanjiang Plain, static land-use models under different rice planting scales were established. Through simulation and comparison, the rice area that could achieve the balance of groundwater recharge and discharge was considered the suitable rice planting scale in the Sanjiang Plain. The results showed that the average annual change in groundwater storage from 2000 to 2014 simulated by the baseline model was −0.313 billion m3, indicating that there was space for further optimization and adjustment of the rice planting scale in the Sanjiang Plain. By comparing the static land-use models of each year under the current water resource allocation pattern, the rice area of 1.021 million hm2 in 2005 could effectively realize the balance of groundwater recharge and discharge. Under the new water resource allocation pattern of 2035, the water resource conditions in the Sanjiang Plain will be greatly improved, which can support a rice planting scale of 3.058 million hm2 on the basis of ensuring the balance of groundwater recharge and discharge. Our research results can provide a reference for water resource allocation and land-use optimization regulation in the Sanjiang Plain.

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