Abstract
This paper divides the tourism life cycle of Lijiang into three stages by Butler's theory, and forecasts the amount of tourists in Lijiang in 2017-2020with Gompertz growth curve. The research shows that the contradiction between the increasing tourist quantity and the decline of the environmental carrying capacity will affect the sustainability of Lijiang's tourism development. In order to alleviate the environmental load of Lijiang tourism, this thesis advises developing ecological tourism in Jinshan to rich the tourism products, expand the tourism industry chain and promote the sustainable development of Lijiang.
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