Abstract

This study aims to predict the market demand for the real estate trust based on the monthly statistical analysis reports on 73 contracts of 11 real estate trust companies in Korea over past 6 years. Business performance analysis of the trust companies provided by Korea Financial Investment Association has been used in creating the forecast on Time Series Data. The data analysis using Box-Jenkin s ARIMA Model with time series data has been carried out to estimate market demand for real estate trust, In the final analysis, the model predicts the continuous growth of real estate trust market. This study marks the first milestone in the light of the application of ARIMA Model in estimating domestic market demand for real estate trust and places a high value on academic areas in making predictions about the scale of real estate trust market.

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