Abstract
When we estimate risk to life due to natural disasters and diseases, it is necessary to discuss the social loss estimation due to human casualties. However, no method has been established to estimate it. The objectives of this paper are to propose the estimation method of loss of social value due to heavy casualties with the relationship between GRP and average life span. We applied this method to the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake disaster in Hyogo prefecture and in Japan. It was found that estimated losses of social value in the first year could reach about 1.62 trillion yen in Hyogo prefecture and 1.75 trillion yen in Japan respectively.
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