Abstract

Qualitative analysis of water resources is one of the most widely used topics in water resources research today. Researchers use various analysis methods of water parameters to achieve the desired goals in this field. This research uses artificial intelligence (AI), learning machine (LM), data mining, and mathematical techniques to simulate water behavior and estimate its parametric changes. The proposed model used in this study was a Self-adaptive Extreme learning machine (SAELM) to estimate hydrogeological parameters of the Meghan wetland located in Markazi province in Iran. In addition, SAELM simulation results were compared to Least square support vector machine (LSSVM), Multiple linear regression (MLR), and Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models. The simulated parameters were Electrical Conductivity (EC), Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), Groundwater Level (GWL), and salinity. This information was related to sampling for 175 months in the study area. Finally, after simulation operation, four models were introduced as superior models. Mentioned exceptional models were SAELM in GWL modeling, SAELM in modeling the EC, MLR in salinity simulation, and LSSVM in the simulation of TDS parameters. Moreover, by five approaches, the models' performance was evaluated. Suggested strategies were performance evaluation by statistical indicators, Wilson score method uncertainty analysis (WSMUA), response & correlation plots, discrepancy ratio charts, and distribution error diagrams. Based on statistical indicators, the SAELMGWL model was the most accurate model with RMSE, MAPE, and R2 indices equal to 0.1496, 0.0043, and 0.9933, respectively. The ANFIS model had the worst results in simulation.

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