Study of Travel Transfer Mode of Shuttle Bus Based on ML Model

Abstract

To resolve the traffic congestion problem, this research develops a method for design of a shuttle bus route and its stations considering transfers with subway. Such a design can potentially attract a large number of commuters to take a shuttle bus to workplace instead of private cars to avoid rush hour traffic. The RP and SP survey about the travel behavior of shuttle bus commuters’ is carried out and analyzed considering its transfer with subway. Influencing factors of selecting shuttle bus are analyzed. On the base of combination of various factors, transfer mode choice model of shuttle bus is given in this paper. It can be concluded from the analysis results that most of shuttle bus users arrive at the stop by walk. About 78 percent of the users whose ratio of transfer time to total time is between 0.2 and 0.5, and 23%of the users dissatisfy with the stop locations. The results show that time from home to shuttle bus station, cost, car possession have marked influences on the result of mode split. The precision of the model is high and the results can provide a good reference for optimizing of the shuttle bus route.