Abstract

Background: COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). It has been recognized as a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on 11th March, 2020. Objective: To identify various factors that can increase coronavirus spread in India and predict COVID-19 cases up to 27th December, 2020, minimum and maximum number of deaths due to COVID-19 in India. Methods: This work predicts COVID-19 cases, the minimum and the maximum number of deaths due to COVID-19 in India based on the infection rate and suspected cases. Results: Our result shows that the number of COVID-19 cases will increase exponentially in India to approximately 859421415 cases by 27th December 2020. Conclusion: The spread of COVID-19 in India depends on a lot of factors such as religious congregation, social contact structure, low testing rates, identification of COVID-19 suspects, measures such as lockdown and sealing of hot stop, etc. taken by the Indian government. In India, lockdown proved to be a good decision.

Highlights

  • ConclusionThe spread of COVID-19 in India depends on a lot of factors such as religious congregation, social contact structure, low testing rates, identification of COVID-19 suspects, measures such as lockdown and sealing of hot stop, etc. taken by the Indian government

  • The outbreak of novel pathogenic Coronavirus (2019nCoV) [1 - 6] was first identified in Wuhan city of Hubei Province of South China on 31st December, 2019

  • COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)

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Summary

Conclusion

The spread of COVID-19 in India depends on a lot of factors such as religious congregation, social contact structure, low testing rates, identification of COVID-19 suspects, measures such as lockdown and sealing of hot stop, etc. taken by the Indian government.

INTRODUCTION
MOTIVATION
WEEKLY ANALYSIS OF INFECTED AND DEATH CASES IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES
Religious Congregation
Lifting of the Lockdown
The Testing Rate in India
Prediction for COVID-19 Infected Cases in India
CONCLUSION
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