Abstract
Background: COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). It has been recognized as a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on 11th March, 2020. Objective: To identify various factors that can increase coronavirus spread in India and predict COVID-19 cases up to 27th December, 2020, minimum and maximum number of deaths due to COVID-19 in India. Methods: This work predicts COVID-19 cases, the minimum and the maximum number of deaths due to COVID-19 in India based on the infection rate and suspected cases. Results: Our result shows that the number of COVID-19 cases will increase exponentially in India to approximately 859421415 cases by 27th December 2020. Conclusion: The spread of COVID-19 in India depends on a lot of factors such as religious congregation, social contact structure, low testing rates, identification of COVID-19 suspects, measures such as lockdown and sealing of hot stop, etc. taken by the Indian government. In India, lockdown proved to be a good decision.
Highlights
ConclusionThe spread of COVID-19 in India depends on a lot of factors such as religious congregation, social contact structure, low testing rates, identification of COVID-19 suspects, measures such as lockdown and sealing of hot stop, etc. taken by the Indian government
The outbreak of novel pathogenic Coronavirus (2019nCoV) [1 - 6] was first identified in Wuhan city of Hubei Province of South China on 31st December, 2019
COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
Summary
The spread of COVID-19 in India depends on a lot of factors such as religious congregation, social contact structure, low testing rates, identification of COVID-19 suspects, measures such as lockdown and sealing of hot stop, etc. taken by the Indian government.
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