Abstract
Sensing in the built environment has the potential to reduce asset management expenditure and contribute to extending useful service life. In the built environment, measurements are usually performed indirectly; effects are measured remote from their causes. Modelling approximations from many sources, such as boundary conditions, geometrical simplifications and numerical assumptions result in important systematic uncertainties that modify correlation values between measurement points. In addition, conservative behavior models that were employed - justifiably during the design stage, prior to construction - are generally inadequate when explaining measurements of real behavior. This paper summarizes the special context of sensor data interpretation for asset management in the built environment. Nearly twenty years of research results from several doctoral thesis and fourteen full-scale case studies in four countries are summarized. Originally inspired from research into model based diagnosis, work on multiple model identification evolved into a methodology for probabilistic model falsification. Throughout the research, parallel studies developed strategies for measurement system design. Recent comparisons with Bayesian model updating have shown that while traditional applications Bayesian methods are precise and accurate when all is known, they are not robust in the presence of approximate models. Finally, details of the full-scale case studies that have been used to develop model falsification are briefly described. The model-falsification strategy for data interpretation provides engineers with an easy-to-understand tool that is compatible with the context of the built environment.
Highlights
The wealth of nations is increasingly determined by the quality of human capital
Model falsification has a clear advantage over Bayesian model updating since it is easier to explain to asset owners and managers
Systems contain elements that are correlated, and since systematic modeling errors have a multitude of sources in full-scale engineering contexts, Error-Doman Model Falsification (EDMF) appears to be a better practical choice than current implementations of Bayesian model updating for system identification
Summary
The wealth of nations is increasingly determined by the quality of human capital. High performers, while often forgoing monetary rewards to follow their passion, typically wish to live in places where the quality of life is high. Efficient management of aging assets is a necessary condition for high performance, and this contributes to quality of life. When replacement is weighed against strengthening, extending, and improving, decision makers should have the best knowledge possible. This means that they must have accurate structural mechanics-based behavior models that are capable of providing good predictions, even when extrapolating to determine, e.g., the impact of retrofit solutions. Once a structure is built, appropriate sensing and unbiased data interpretation help to discover previously hidden reserve capacity. 1 www.ishmii.org/ 2 http://structure.stanford.edu/workshop 3 http://shm.sagepub.com/ 4 http://www.springer.com/engineering/civil+engineering/journal/13349 large infrastructure assets. This results in poor, and potentially bad, support for asset management. At the end of this paper, several full-scale case studies that have been used to illustrate and validate the strategy are summarized
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