Structural Reliability

Abstract

Abstract Structural systems such as buildings, bridges, water tanks, containment vessels, and communication towers are often represented as load‐resistance systems. In all cases, these structures represent substantial and expensive assets that are unique or “one‐off”. Even apparently, similar buildings have different occupancy loads, foundations, connection details, etc. Clearly, their reliability cannot be directly inferred from observation of failures or other experimental studies. In these circumstances, reliabilities need to be predicted from predictive models and probabilistic methods. As such, there is a clear recognition that uncertainty and variability are associated with many variables describing a structure's performance and that this can be accounted for explicitly by the use of probability distributions and structural reliability theory. Structural reliability theory allows the probability of failure to be predicted where failure is defined to occur when load exceeds a resistance. Not surprisingly, structural reliability theory underpins many recent advances in structural and safety engineering, including development of design and assessment codes, predicting service‐life performance, and assessment and maintenance of aging and deteriorating structures.