Abstract
Today, the Russian system of accounting energy consumption indicators is being actively developed, the special attention being paid to collecting verified statistical data and methodological grounding of energy efficiency monitoring in the regions. The present paper outlines the approach to estimating structural factor's effect on energy intensity of Russian regions. The approach consists in grouping Russian regions by types of their energy-economic development; studying dynamic characteristics of each group; estimating the intensity of GRP structural shifts; and analyzing statistical interdependence of structural shifts' intensity and energy intensity dynamics across the regions. The paper deals with the first stage of implementation of Energy Strategy of Russia for the Period up to 2030 (over 2005-2014 years). The dynamics of energy efficiency has been investigated using the case of electricity consumption. The results obtained in the present research show the slight impact of structural factor on energy intensity dynamics in the Russian regions, which complies with the earlier obtained results. Thus, over the period 2005-2014 the energy intensity dynamics in the Russian regions could be substantially affected by economic growth, technology modifications and other factors requiring detailed studies.
Highlights
Overview of up-to-date trends in both global and national economies shows that economic development of territories is closely connected with energy use efficiency: the faster the rates of economy's energy intensity reduction, the higher the rates of economic growth (International Energy Agency, 2017; Makarov, Grigoryev & Mitrova, 2016; Ivanov & Matveev, 2017)
Energy intensity is an indicator of energy consumption efficiency which is determined as the ratio of gross product to overall costs of energy expressed in physical units
The updated Energy Strategy of Russia for the Period up to 2035 [Draft] prepared by the Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation (2017b) points out that the key contribution to energy intensity reduction of the 2000s was made by structural changes and economic growth, while the impact of technological factor was slight
Summary
Overview of up-to-date trends in both global and national economies shows that economic development of territories is closely connected with energy use efficiency: the faster the rates of economy's energy intensity reduction, the higher the rates of economic growth (International Energy Agency, 2017; Makarov, Grigoryev & Mitrova, 2016; Ivanov & Matveev, 2017). The updated Energy Strategy of Russia for the Period up to 2035 [Draft] prepared by the Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation (2017b) points out that the key contribution to energy intensity reduction of the 2000s was made by structural changes and economic growth, while the impact of technological factor was slight. Calculations show that the average index of GRP electricity intensity in Russian regions as a whole went down by 18% in 2005-2014 (2% higher than target value set for 2015 in ES2030); electricity consumption increased by 11%, including: +37% – due to economic growth; –19% – due to technological factor; –7% – due to GRP structure change. The dynamics of energy efficiency has been investigated using the case of electricity consumption, since the official statistics necessary for the calculations are available on the website of the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) only for this energy resource
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