Abstract

AbstractUnderstanding the stress distribution around shallow magma chambers is vital for forecasting eruption sites and magma propagation directions. To achieve accurate forecasts, comprehensive insight into the stress field surrounding magma chambers and near the surface is essential. Existing stress models for pressurized magma chambers often assume a homogenous elastic half‐space or a heterogeneous crust with varying mechanical properties in horizontal layers. However, as many volcanoes have complex, non‐horizontal, and heterogeneous layers, we enhance these assumptions by considering mechanically stratified layers with varying dips. We employed the Finite Element Method (FEM) to create numerical models simulating three chamber geometries: circular, sill‐like and prolate. The primary condition was a 10 MPa excess pressure within the magma chamber, generating the stress field. Layers dips by 20‐degree increments, with differing elastic moduli, represented by stiffness ratios of the successive layers (EU/EL) ranging from 0.01 to 100. Our findings validate prior research on heterogeneous crustal modeling, showing that high stiffness ratios disrupt stress within layers and induce local stress rotations at mismatched interfaces. Layer dip further influences stress fields, shifting the location of maximum stress concentration over varying distances. This study underscores the significance of accurately understanding mechanical properties, layer dip in volcanoes, and magma chamber geometry. Improving forecasting of future eruption vents in active volcanoes, particularly in the Andes with its deformed, folded, and non‐horizontal stratified crust, hinges on this knowledge. By expanding stress models to incorporate complex geological structures, we enhance our ability to forecast eruption sites and magma propagation paths.

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