Abstract

For make-to-order manufacturing firms, a valuable intangibles asset is represented by the backlog, namely a company's sales orders waiting to be filled. Not infrequently, the value of this asset can constitute a significant part of the value of the company. Valuation experts may be called on to value the order backlog in case of the sale of both one or more contracts and of firms or business units. A strongly accredited method both in doctrine and in practice for valuing customer-related assets, such as backlog, is the Excess Earnings Method (EEM). However, theoretical contributions on the use of the EEM in the specific estimate of backlog are quite rare. This paper examines the topic of backlog valuation performed using EEM. After describing the valuation process, a critical analysis of the EEM when applied to such valuation object is carried out, with the aim of grasping its strengths and weaknesses. We conclude that backlog valuation performed using EEM while on the one hand is characterized by strong economic rationality and enjoys general acceptance in the context of professional business valuation services, on the other it highlights significant elements of uncertainty due to the multiple estimates needed. Moreover, it is an extremely complex and time-consuming process, whose application requires a high level of specialist knowledge and skills on the part of the valuation expert. Keywords: backlog, valuation of backlog, excess earnings method, customer-related assets. DOI: 10.7176/RJFA/11-22-12 Publication date: December 31 st 2020

Highlights

  • This paper analyses the critical budget considerations developed by make-to-order manufacturing firms from the point of view of their backlog

  • This paper examines the topic of backlog valuation performed using Excess Earnings Method (EEM)

  • This criterion is explicitly referred to in IFRS 3R, where, concerning business combinations, it specifies that: “An order or production backlog arises from contracts such as purchase or sales orders... [and] ...meets the contractual-legal criterion even if the purchase or sales orders can be cancelled.” (IASB, IFRS 3R, IE25)

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Summary

Introduction

This paper analyses the critical budget considerations developed by make-to-order manufacturing firms from the point of view of their backlog. The contractual agreement with the customer establishes a reasonable certainty of the amount that will be generated by the orders when they will be complete (Note 4) It is the so-called “contractual-legal criterion” that applies, which excludes the orders for which negotiations are still being held from the list of intangible assets. This criterion is explicitly referred to in IFRS 3R, where, concerning business combinations, it specifies that: “An order or production backlog arises from contracts such as purchase or sales orders... This is something one should firmly keep in mind when completing an estimate

The valuation of backlog: a literature review
Introductory considerations on the method
The forecasting of earnings expected from backlog
The discounting of the excess earnings
The reconciliation of WARA and WACC
Findings
Conclusive remarks
Full Text
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