Strengthening energy transition through effective urban electric demand prediction: A multidisciplinary exploration of AI, policy, and administrative strategies

Abstract

This research endeavors to strengthen energy transition in urban management through the enhanced accuracy of electric load demand forecasting within a multi-faceted approach considering legal and policy decision making associate with the proposed problem. Firstly, a prediction model is devised utilizing an evolving Peephole LSTM (PLSTM). This sophisticated architecture incorporates peephole connections, allowing for enhanced information flow within the network. Subsequently, a hybrid evolutionary algorithm is introduced for fine-tuning the parameters of the peephole LSTM (PLSTM). This hybrid approach amalgamates the whale optimization algorithm (WOA) and cultural algorithm (CA), harnessing their complementary strengths for optimal parameter configuration. The study extends beyond model development to address the practical implications of real-time electric load forecasting. A comprehensive stability analysis is conducted on datasets sourced from an urban area, offering insights into the model's reliability and performance under dynamic conditions. This tripartite investigation not only contributes to the advancement of predictive modeling in electric load demand forecasting but also underscores the significance of robust parameter optimization and stability assessments for real-world applicability in urban energy management. The simulation results on the practical dataset clearly show the high robustness and capabilities of the proposed model. By combining cutting-edge model architecture, hybrid evolutionary optimization, and thorough stability assessments, this study not only contributes to the forefront of predictive modeling in electric load forecasting but also emphasizes the critical importance of parameter optimization and stability evaluations for the seamless integration of such models into the dynamic landscape of urban energy management.