Abstract

Abstract Structural failure of the hull beam of a ship due to extreme bending moments is probably the most catastrophic event a ship can experience and the rules given by the classification societies have to assure that the probability of this event is sufficiently small. In order to estimate the probability of failure it is necessary to address not only the random nature of the loading history the ship experiences, but also the random nature of the strength of the hull beam. The strength of the hull beam is affected by a large amount of uncertainties, and it is one aim of the present paper to make an attempt to judge the importance of the uncertain parameters to the uncertainty of the strength of the hull beam.

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