Abstract
This paper presents a roadmap performed in 2010 as part of a European project for the modelling of carbon capture and storage technology, and various scenarios with different taxations and permit prices for the CO2 emissions considering the Greek national plans, then the gradual decommissioning of various lignite or other units of electricity power plants. In addition, this study presents a first check, 10 years after its writing, of the current situation of the Greek energy system, regarding the correspondence of the roadmap designed in 2010 to what has been finally executed during this period, including the possibility of other energy sources complimenting or substituting the national strategic energy plans. For this purpose, the integrated MARKAL-EFOM system (TIMES) was employed to model the Greek energy system and evaluate its development over time, until 2040, by analyzing three different scenarios with respect to taxation and permit prices for carbon emissions. The results obtained show that, if this study had been considered and executed by the different stakeholders during that period, then the implementation of CCS in the new licensed power plants from 2010 and onwards could reduce the use of lignite and imported hard coal power production in a much smoother and beneficial way in the next years, and until the present, without compromising any major power plants. This implementation would also make the transition to a lignite free economy in Greece much faster and better, while complimenting the EU regulations and also enhancing the possible greater use of alternative energy sources in the green energy mixture.
Highlights
The world population is projected to reach 8.5 billion people by 2030, contributing, along with the strong economic growth, to a rise in energy demand and consumption
The lifetime of the fossil fuel power plants has come to an end, and none are reconstructed or participate in the electricity mix
This paper examined the strategic planning of CCS implementation in Greece if considered in the starting year 2010, with a special focus on the electricity sector
Summary
The world population is projected to reach 8.5 billion people by 2030, contributing, along with the strong economic growth, to a rise in energy demand and consumption. According to the US 2016 Report [1], the world energy demand is expected to rise by approximately 50% by 2030, on a global scale, whilst, according to the BP Energy Outlook Report (2015) [2], world energy consumption will increase by 41% between 2012 and 2035. Nonmember countries of the OECD, such as China and India, are believed to contribute to this total rise, except a small, but noticeable, share of 5% by EU countries [2]. Due to international and EU regulations for the reduction in energy use and carbon emissions by at least 50% over the 20 years, there is a rising trend of using renewable energy technologies. On an EU level, renewables based generation will reach a share of
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