STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SUSTAINABILITY OF A COMPANY IN THE PARADIGM OF FUZZY LOGIC

Abstract

The theory of economic resilience is actively developing in Russian and foreign scientific studies. Most of them lack a comprehensive approach to the issue of resilience, the ability to assess the behaviour of economic systems under conditions of uncertainty and to offer optimal solutions to ensure the resilience of economic systems (enterprises, industries) in difficult conditions. It is necessary to develop optimal algorithms for managing economic systems under adverse effects (AE) of a natural, technological, or military nature. The article describes the method of managing economic resilience in three-dimensional spaces: ‘stability – efficiency’, ‘risk – efficiency’, and ‘chance – efficiency’. The results of three approaches to resilience management are compared.It can be tentatively assumed that the stability of an individual company is ensured if the economic stability index RI exceeds the level of 0.6 and the return on equity is at least 20% per annum. More generally, in the ‘resilience – efficiency’ space, the domain of stable states of the enterprise is described by a fuzzy parabolic R lens. In the ‘risk – efficiency’ and ‘chance – efficiency’ domains, the space of optimal solutions is represented by a set of non-dominated Pareto alternatives, united by a fuzzy parabolic efficient bound of the solution portfolio set. The organisation can control its level of economic resilience within multiple representations and act according to a predetermined plan in the event of a temporary loss of resilience. The research is original, using the methods of fuzzy set theory and soft computing. A technology has been proposed to ensure the economic resilience of systems operating in difficult conditions (e.g. in new regions of the Russian Federation where large-scale military actions are taking place). This makes the study highly relevant and practical.