Strategic guidelines of a megalopolis’s development: new industrialization and ecological tension

Abstract

The article is devoted to the integration of environmental concerns in the development strategy of the metropolis. The authors substantiate the relationship of the new industrialization and reduce the burden on the environment. For example, a large city in Russia – Ekaterinburg – projections and strategic directions of ecological development of the city for the period up to 2035. The basis for the forecast were the methods of aggregation of economic sectors, functional relationship and forecasting algorithms. The article describes three scenarios for the development of Ekaterinburg, the results of calculations by the author’s method. The authors have shown the relationship of industrial development of the metropolis and the anthropogenic load, which is assessed using such indicators as emissions of harmful substances into the atmosphere, discharges of sewage, green spaces per inhabitant. The authors note that the ecological security of the residents is directly related to the improvement of controllability of the municipal economy, the increased control in the field of the environment, reduction of environmental burden on humans and the environment, zoning of the city with a goal differential application of indicators of the quality of the environment.