Stormwater Contamination of Urban Estuaries. 2. Testing a Predictive Model of the Build-Up of Heavy Metals in Sediments

Abstract

We describe the results of a sampling program to test a simple, management-oriented, predictive model of the build-up of contaminants (Cu, Pb, and Zn) in sediments in sheltered estuaries. The model, described in detail in a companion paper, is generally applicable to these environments but its development and testing is described for two urban estuaries in Auckland, New Zealand. There was good agreement between observed concentrations of metals and those predicted by the model. The model predicted larger concentrations within a defined settling zone at the upper end of the estuary than outside this zone, and such a difference was detected for lead and zinc. Differences in concentrations of metals were detected among locations several hundreds of meters apart, with increasing concentrations from downstream to upstream locations. These patterns were apparent above smaller scale variation among and within sites 10s of meters apart within each location. This small-scale variation did not conform to any obvious patterns. For example, there were no clear patterns in the metals distributions in sediments among different shore heights. Patterns of contaminants distributions found in the present study may be generalized to similar urban estuaries in other parts of the world through their correspondence to those derived from the model, which is based on general assumptions and principles.